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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.490 | $8.2 | +$3.3 |
Next DeepSeek Pro released by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | 9d ago |
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| No |
| 7 |
| $0.780 |
| $6.41 |
| +$0.95 |
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5.25 | +$0.25 |
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.68 | $0.880 | $3.69 | -$1.31 |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.240 | $1.37 | -$0.63 |
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.08 | $0.650 | $1.18 | -$0.82 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | Yes | 1.61 | $0.620 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.490 |
| $4.9 |
| 9d ago |
Next DeepSeek Pro released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.780 | $5.46 | 9d ago |
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.860 | $1.1 | 9d ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.77 | $0.090 | $0.61 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.32 | $0.406 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.64 | $0.752 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |