Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 7.3 | $0.890 | $6.5 | May 16, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 6.16 |
| $0.941 |
| $5.8 |
| Apr 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.967 | $1.4 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.994 | $1.2 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.990 | $1.5 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Global heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.997 | $1.2 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Wisconsin by 4.0% or more?No | buy | 0.56 | $0.998 | $0.56 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?Wisconsin | buy | 1.2 | $0.997 | $1.2 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Colorado by 8+ points?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Harris gets more Republican voters than Biden?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.997 | $1.4 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.997 | $1.2 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.941 | $1.2 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.993 | $1.2 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?No | sell | 5.02K | $0.995 | $4.99K | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Leicester City wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.995 | $1.2 | Nov 17, 2024 |
| Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?No | buy | 5.02K | $0.996 | $5K | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?No | sell | 5.73K | $0.995 | $5.7K | Nov 17, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.998 | $1.2 | Nov 17, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.996 | $1.4 | Nov 17, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.997 | $1.2 | Nov 17, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.986 | $1.4 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.990 | $1.3 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.991 | $1.2 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Fulham wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.995 | $1.5 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 West Ham United wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.996 | $1.2 | Nov 17, 2024 |
| Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?No | buy | 5.73K | $0.996 | $5.71K | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 AK-1 election: Peltola (D) vs. Begich (R)Begich | buy | 1.41 | $0.991 | $1.4 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 1.2 | $0.996 | $1.2 | Nov 17, 2024 |