Latest trade
Jan 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:02 PM UTC.
Analytics
Arctic-Exhaust is down $290.79 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-12 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:02 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 25 trades covered 22 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jan 7, 2026 UTC to Jan 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 25 | $0.200 | $13.63 | +$8.63 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-12 08:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 13:02 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
25 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 13:02 UTC
polymarket positions
3 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-12 08:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
The largest loss was $5 on “Will Trump say "FIFA" this week? (January 11)” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 Jan 2026. It has traded 22 markets. Its open positions are worth $23.18 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 71.43 |
| $0.070 |
| $6.11 |
| +$1.11 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 69.52 | $0.187 | $1.95 | -$11.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.090 | $1.5 | -$3.5 |
| buy |
| 80.8 |
| $0.025 |
| $2 |
| Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.210 | $9 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.200 | $60 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
 ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes | buy | 103.16 | $0.250 | $25.79 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.070 | $35 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 55.26 | $0.181 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.046 | $46 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.36 | $0.123 | $3 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.021 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.150 | $4 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "FIFA" this week? (January 11)Yes | buy | 19.68 | $0.254 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?Yes | buy | 178.33 | $0.028 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.75 | $0.160 | $7 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.