Latest trade
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:03 PM UTC.
Analytics
Wayne1483 is down $1.61 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-13 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:03 PM UTC.
$11.38 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 45 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from May 8, 2026 UTC to Oct 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 49.4 | $0.780 | $34.83 | -$3.71 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 15.5 | $0.180 | $2.79 | 3d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-13 18:16 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 18:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 18:03 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-13 18:16 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $19.12 and losing ones cost $12 across the latest 50 settled positions. 86% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $10.15 on “TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3 on “Ethereum all time high in 2024?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Oct 2026. It has traded 159 markets. Its open positions are worth $36.92 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 15.5 |
| $0.180 |
| $2.09 |
| -$0.7 |
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes| buy |
| 11.3 |
| $0.987 |
| $11.15 |
| 11d ago |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 49.4 | $0.780 | $38.53 | 12d ago |
 Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 49.45 | $0.999 | $49.4 | 15d ago |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 11.75 | $0.999 | $11.74 | 19d ago |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 37.83 | $0.957 | $36.2 | 21d ago |
 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.78 | $0.974 | $14.4 | 24d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?No | buy | 14.73 | $0.998 | $14.7 | 26d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.995 | $11.7 | 27d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Yes | buy | 40.51 | $0.990 | $40.1 | 29d ago |
 Will Solana reach $200 in September?No | buy | 6.91 | $0.998 | $6.9 | 29d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes | buy | 46.99 | $0.998 | $46.9 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No | buy | 46.85 | $0.999 | $46.8 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 46.7 | $0.997 | $46.56 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | sell | 8.7 | $0.917 | $7.98 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.914 | $7.95 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.5 | $0.996 | $46.31 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August?No | sell | 41.02 | $0.999 | $40.98 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August?No | buy | 41.02 | $0.997 | $40.9 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.998 | $1.9 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 42.7 | $0.995 | $42.49 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.996 | $1.6 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 44.31 | $0.993 | $44 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 259.8 | $0.001 | $0.26 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 114.75 | $0.001 | $0.11 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 44.42 | $0.986 | $43.8 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?No | buy | 43.79 | $0.991 | $43.4 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.001 | $0.15 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.001 | $0.23 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 43.78 | $0.996 | $43.6 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 43.59 | $0.998 | $43.5 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.994 | $2.1 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
 GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 31.57 | $0.998 | $31.5 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.997 | $1.4 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.992 | $1.2 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.998 | $1.4 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.997 | $1.3 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.999 | $1.8 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.998 | $1.6 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.993 | $2.7 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.996 | $1.5 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in June?No | buy | 27.83 | $0.999 | $27.8 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 16.43 | $0.992 | $16.3 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.997 | $1.4 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 41.41 | $0.990 | $41 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?No | buy | 11.68 | $0.993 | $11.6 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 3.48 | $0.998 | $3.47 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.