Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 7.5K | $0.987 | $7.43K | +$27.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?Yes | sell | 176.14 | $0.247 | $43.45 | 7h ago |
 |
| No |
| 7K |
| $0.970 |
| $6.84K |
| +$51.74 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 5.85K | $0.811 | $4.97K | +$227.83 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 5.4K | $0.840 | $4.72K | +$188.51 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 3.49K | $0.870 | $3.04K | $0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.4K | $0.802 | $2.89K | +$163.41 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.86K | $0.663 | $2.72K | +$162.72 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 2.9K | $0.750 | $2.31K | +$130.5 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.2K | $0.859 | $1.9K | +$12.5 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 3.93K | $0.520 | $1.83K | -$215.59 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.9K | $0.913 | $1.77K | +$36.12 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.780 | $1.18K | +$7.51 |
 Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 1.22K | $0.841 | $1.1K | +$77.41 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.35K | $0.712 | $999 | +$37.5 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 1.92K | $0.516 | $971.18 | -$22.11 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 1.07K | $0.920 | $969.98 | -$16.08 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 972.91 | $0.751 | $744.27 | +$13.05 |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 716.04 | $0.928 | $680.95 | +$16.11 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 800 | $0.810 | $680 | +$32 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 800 | $0.778 | $636 | +$13.55 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 749.91 | $0.550 | $386.21 | -$26.25 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.297 | $335.02 | -$20.1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 600 | $0.510 | $279 | -$27 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.270 | $256.85 | -$58.37 |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | No | 243.53 | $0.731 | $231.36 | +$53.41 |
| buy |
| 520 |
| $0.780 |
| $405.6 |
| 10h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 937.74 | $0.740 | $693.93 | 10h ago |
 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz | buy | 0.07 | $0.740 | $0.05 | 16h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?Yes | sell | 102.97 | $0.550 | $56.63 | 17h ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?Yes | sell | 183.52 | $0.790 | $144.98 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 3?Yes | sell | 30.4 | $0.550 | $16.72 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.730 | $401.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.770 | $462 | 1d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.23K | $0.520 | $1.16K | 1d ago |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.799 | $118.2 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 2.92K | $0.036 | $104.22 | 1d ago |
 ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.320 | $64.01 | 2d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 83.25 | $0.740 | $61.61 | 2d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | sell | 994.52 | $0.235 | $233.76 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 2.81K | $0.695 | $1.96K | 3d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6K | $0.012 | $71.15 | 3d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.25K | $0.250 | $1.56K | 3d ago |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.902 | $9.02 | 3d ago |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | sell | 89.91 | $0.910 | $81.82 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 338.74 | $0.731 | $247.52 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 135.88 | $0.880 | $119.57 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.388 | $38.85 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.98K | $0.676 | $2.69K | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 66.98 | $0.710 | $47.56 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 378.98 | $0.600 | $227.39 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 300 | $0.610 | $183 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 7.99 | $0.610 | $4.87 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 461.63 | $0.677 | $312.34 | 6d ago |
 Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit & RZP Run on Same List?No | sell | 19.91 | $0.941 | $18.73 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 461.63 | $0.680 | $313.91 | 6d ago |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 46.91 | $0.692 | $32.48 | 7d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.776 | $97.05 | 7d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | 7d ago |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?Yes | buy | 170.47 | $0.700 | $119.33 | 7d ago |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 596.52 | $0.301 | $179.36 | 7d ago |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.920 | $1.15K | 7d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.008 | $48 | 7d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 453 | $0.895 | $405.36 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 163 | $0.860 | $140.18 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.860 | $51.6 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 139.01 | $0.780 | $108.43 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 581.07 | $0.803 | $466.62 | 8d ago |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 700 | $0.850 | $595 | 8d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.036 | $36 | 8d ago |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.340 | $340 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.430 | $129 | 8d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.870 | $261 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.05K | $0.400 | $820 | 9d ago |