Latest trade
Feb 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 2:48 AM UTC.
Analytics
UmbraArbor is down $6.83 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 35 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 2:48 AM UTC.
$3.74 median trade
Its latest 48 trades covered 36 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Dec 24, 2024 UTC to Feb 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 7.99 | $0.989 | $7.9 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-23 01:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 02:48 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
48 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 02:48 UTC
polymarket positions
37 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-23 01:35 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.86 and losing ones cost $10.99 across 35 settled positions. 77.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.31 on “Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?” (No); the largest loss, $3.07 on “Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Feb 2026. It has traded 36 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 8.5 |
| $0.991 |
| $8.42 |
| Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 8.29 | $0.984 | $8.16 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?No | buy | 7.3 | $0.997 | $7.28 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 9.83 | $0.998 | $9.81 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.997 | $3.99 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.989 | $2.27 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Dylan Flashner win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tyler Montoya win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 3.99 | $0.993 | $3.96 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 19.44 | $0.995 | $19.34 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.996 | $3.7 | Oct 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No | buy | 4.89 | $0.990 | $4.84 | Oct 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.996 | $3.48 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.996 | $2.83 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.998 | $4.11 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?No | buy | 4.93 | $0.997 | $4.92 | Oct 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.991 | $4.01 | Oct 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No | buy | 3.88 | $0.988 | $3.83 | Oct 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?No | buy | 3.83 | $0.995 | $3.81 | Oct 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.990 | $4.97 | Oct 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No | buy | 4.22 | $0.986 | $4.16 | Oct 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No | buy | 3.6 | $0.996 | $3.59 | Oct 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?No | buy | 4.69 | $0.994 | $4.66 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?No | buy | 3.83 | $0.920 | $3.52 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $130 in September?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.980 | $4.15 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | buy | 238.5 | $0.004 | $1 | Sep 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No | buy | 6.83 | $0.984 | $6.72 | Aug 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?No | buy | 5.99 | $0.977 | $5.85 | Aug 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | buy | 21.77 | $0.046 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?No | buy | 3.65 | $0.991 | $3.62 | Jul 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?No | buy | 4 | $0.989 | $3.96 | Jul 17, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.999 | $2.99 | Jun 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.920 | $3.79 | Jun 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?No | buy | 3.87 | $0.950 | $3.68 | Jun 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?No | buy | 3.35 | $0.950 | $3.18 | Jun 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?No | buy | 6.46 | $0.999 | $6.45 | May 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 3.2 | $0.590 | $1.89 | May 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next Pope be Black?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.830 | $1.67 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.920 | $1.7 | Mar 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.38 | $0.160 | $1.18 | Mar 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 11.94 | $0.998 | $11.92 | Feb 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum hit $4750 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.990 | $2.88 | Feb 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.521 | $1.2 | Feb 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 2.92 | $0.527 | $1.54 | Feb 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.460 | $3.07 | Jan 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Helen McEntee be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.999 | $1.33 | Dec 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 0.64 | $0.970 | $0.62 | Dec 24, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.