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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.054 | $4.97 | Feb 6, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 106 |
| $0.047 |
| $4.98 |
| Feb 6, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.062 | $16.74 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 583 | $0.060 | $34.98 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 307 | $0.130 | $39.91 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 934.53 | $0.005 | $4.67 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 947.98 | $0.004 | $3.79 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.003 | $4.24 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 180.99 | $0.045 | $8.14 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.061 | $1.22 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.050 | $13.5 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 79.07 | $0.110 | $8.7 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 26.11 | $0.180 | $4.7 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.047 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 29.59 | $0.169 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?Yes | buy | 446.07 | $0.064 | $28.55 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?Yes | buy | 200.74 | $0.063 | $12.65 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Trump win 7 swing states?Yes | buy | 45.91 | $0.218 | $10 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Trump win 6 swing states?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.170 | $7.5 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will Trump win 5 swing states?Yes | buy | 75.81 | $0.160 | $12.13 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 18.03 | $0.610 | $11 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20.95 | $0.440 | $9.22 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will Trump win 3 swing states?Yes | buy | 100.38 | $0.125 | $12.55 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will Trump win 4 swing states?Yes | buy | 91.57 | $0.140 | $12.82 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?No | buy | 49.71 | $0.620 | $30.82 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 44.75 | $0.320 | $14.32 | Nov 4, 2024 |