Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2.76 | +$0.76 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 6h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.74 |
| $0.730 |
| $2.08 |
| +$0.08 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.480 | $1.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 3.33 | $0.600 | $1.58 | -$0.42 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9? | Up | 3.08 | $0.650 | $0 | -$2 |
| buy |
| 3.08 |
| $0.650 |
| $2 |
| 14h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | 1d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | 6d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 18d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 20?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 20d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $78 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 26d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?Up | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | 26d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | 27d ago |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 27d ago |
 Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.770 | $1.21 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.502 | $1.53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.530 | $1.89 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.99 | $0.499 | $1.99 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.720 | $1.46 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.510 | $1.56 | Jul 26, 2026 |