Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?

Resolved

Yes, settled Aug 24, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$125.5K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 24, 2026 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 24 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 70.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 24 Aug 2026, the highest close was 70.5% on 24 Aug 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 21 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 70.5% on 24 Aug 2026. $125.54K traded over the market's life.

41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 25, 5:47 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 24 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Aug 2026	37.5%
24 Aug 2026	70.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	40.93K
NewBTandMetMask	No	1.62K
BigMackyG	No	1.28K
BikesAreTheBikes	No	1.1K

10 of 41 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.