Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Yes | 14.01 | $0.246 | $7.43 | +$3.97 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 0.58 | $0.630 | $0.37 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 103.46 |
| $0.063 |
| $6.57 |
| +$0.01 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 42.42 | $0.118 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 43.35 | $0.170 | $4.99 | -$2.38 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 4.16 | $0.335 | $2.79 | +$1.39 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 21.56 | $0.325 | $2.75 | -$4.25 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 10.14 | $0.493 | $2.18 | -$2.82 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 12.81 | $0.234 | $1.68 | -$1.32 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | Yes | 9.62 | $0.104 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 80.5 | $0.060 | $1.41 | -$3.42 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 31.67 | $0.085 | $1.22 | -$1.47 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | No | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 20.61 | $0.254 | $0.75 | -$4.48 |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 2.17 | $0.460 | $0.72 | -$0.28 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.400 | $0.38 | -$1.63 |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.13 | -$0.87 |
| sell |
| 1.54 |
| $0.630 |
| $0.97 |
| 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.690 | $0.98 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.880 | $0.91 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.500 | $0.91 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.960 | $0.97 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.960 | $0.97 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.950 | $0.96 | 3d ago |
| Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.910 | $0.98 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.890 | $0.96 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.920 | $0.98 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.920 | $0.98 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.910 | $0.96 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.910 | $0.96 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 3d ago |