Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:13 AM UTC.
Analytics
mnicholson is down $9.82 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:13 AM UTC.
$14.53 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 43 markets; 92.0% were buys. They run from Mar 23, 2025 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rice vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 49.5Over | buy | 0.59 | $0.630 | $0.37 | 2d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 16:34 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 02:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 02:13 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-25 16:34 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $24.82 and losing ones cost $47.75 across the latest 50 settled positions. 58% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $8.61 on “Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?” (No); the largest loss, $7.76 on “Liverpool wins the Premier League?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 85 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 11 |
| $0.630 |
| $6.93 |
| 2d ago |
| Rice vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 49.5Over | buy | 8.03 | $0.630 | $5.06 | 2d ago |
| Indiana vs. Michigan: O/U 43.5Under | buy | 27.08 | $0.530 | $14.35 | 3d ago |
 Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 102 km/h or above in September?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.900 | $4.77 | 27d ago |
 Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?No | buy | 17.65 | $0.550 | $9.71 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.550 | $0.81 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?No | buy | 15.31 | $0.999 | $15.29 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?No | buy | 13.62 | $0.999 | $13.61 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chainlink hit $17 in January?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.995 | $10.82 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?No | buy | 56.22 | $0.997 | $56.05 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.999 | $2.01 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.999 | $5.44 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 US national XRP reserve in 2025?No | buy | 4.46 | $0.999 | $4.46 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 21.02 | $0.998 | $20.98 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 7.67 | $0.999 | $7.66 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.998 | $6.16 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 25.35 | $0.999 | $25.32 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?No | buy | 27.08 | $0.999 | $27.05 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 15.36 | $0.999 | $15.34 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 22.58 | $0.999 | $22.56 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?No | buy | 17.72 | $0.999 | $17.7 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Meta have the second best AI model on September 30?No | buy | 11.55 | $0.999 | $11.54 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?No | buy | 19.88 | $0.998 | $19.84 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 12.84 | $0.999 | $12.83 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 16.41 | $0.999 | $16.39 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 17.31 | $0.999 | $17.29 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $155 in August?No | buy | 13.07 | $0.999 | $13.06 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 14.74 | $0.997 | $14.7 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?No | buy | 16.02 | $0.999 | $16 | Jul 28, 2025 UTC |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?No | buy | 37.43 | $0.993 | $37.17 | Jul 28, 2025 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 40.71 | $0.994 | $40.47 | Jul 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?No | buy | 31.88 | $0.999 | $31.85 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP/NPS?No | buy | 32.1 | $0.998 | $32.04 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?No | buy | 49.22 | $0.991 | $48.78 | Apr 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 2.53K | $0.998 | $2.53K | Apr 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 2.53K | $0.999 | $2.53K | Apr 7, 2025 UTC |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | sell | 2.51K | $0.996 | $2.5K | Apr 7, 2025 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.51K | $0.997 | $2.5K | Apr 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in March 2025?No | sell | 7.08 | $0.997 | $7.06 | Apr 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 2.53K | $0.997 | $2.52K | Apr 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 2.53K | $0.998 | $2.52K | Apr 4, 2025 UTC |
 Was JFK assassination an inside job?No | buy | 6.37 | $0.998 | $6.36 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.999 | $5.38 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?No | buy | 4.47 | $0.999 | $4.47 | Mar 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?No | buy | 2.54K | $0.999 | $2.54K | Mar 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?No | buy | 4.64 | $0.998 | $4.63 | Mar 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.990 | $2.42 | Mar 25, 2025 UTC |
 Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by March 31?No | buy | 5.61 | $0.997 | $5.59 | Mar 24, 2025 UTC |
 Netanyahu out before April?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.996 | $9.14 | Mar 23, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.