Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.004 | $5.6 | -$0.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.006 | $5.4 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.310 |
| $4.8 |
| -$1.4 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 992.16 | $0.008 | $4.46 | -$3.93 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.040 | $2.55 | -$1.45 |
 Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.006 | $0.7 | -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.040 |
| $4 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.006 | $1.2 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.004 | $6.4 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 19.58 | $0.153 | $3 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 92.16 | $0.033 | $3 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.016 | $3.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.085 | $4.25 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 580 | $0.007 | $4.06 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?No | buy | 107.14 | $0.028 | $3 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.95 | $0.035 | $3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 428.57 | $0.007 | $3 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 142.5 | $0.020 | $2.85 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.038 | $1.9 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 58.11 | $0.436 | $25.31 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.004 | $4 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $550 end of January?Yes | buy | 190.36 | $0.026 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | buy | 186.5 | $0.016 | $3 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.044 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 58.12 | $0.069 | $4 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q4 2025Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.011 | $0.45 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.012 | $6 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?Yes | sell | 78.94 | $0.052 | $4.1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 287.82 | $0.013 | $3.74 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.038 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?Yes | sell | 62.01 | $0.154 | $9.55 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.6 | $0.155 | $1.8 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.011 | $3.3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Xi hug on Thursday?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.292 | $1.5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 124.52 | $0.016 | $2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.77 | $0.009 | $0.19 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.025 | $2.5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 232.41 | $0.013 | $3 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 31.68 | $0.063 | $2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.013 | $3 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Oct 25, 2025 |