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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10.1 | +$0.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 47.07 | $0.950 | $44.72 | 25d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 24 |
| $0.750 |
| $4.2 |
| -$13.8 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 5.8 | $0.690 | $3.71 | -$0.29 |
| buy |
| 5.8 |
| $0.690 |
| $4 |
| 25d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10 | 25d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.750 | $18 | 25d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.899 | $1.05 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.45 | $0.560 | $1.37 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.976 | $4.2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.78 | $0.995 | $3.76 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.93 | $0.976 | $2.86 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.93 | $0.986 | $2.89 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 69.18 | $0.850 | $58.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.79 | $0.951 | $3.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 65.28 | $0.880 | $57.45 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.96 | $0.940 | $43.2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | sell | 2.91 | $0.987 | $2.87 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 AFD deaths foul play confirmed in 2025?No | sell | 3.08 | $0.954 | $2.94 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 4.17 | $0.980 | $4.09 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 8.89 | $0.986 | $8.77 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 10.22 | $0.993 | $10.15 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 10.4 | $0.990 | $10.3 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 8.89 | $0.982 | $8.73 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 6?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.931 | $1.45 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.961 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.962 | $2.8 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.978 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.959 | $4 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 4.09 | $0.978 | $4 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 2.07 | $0.621 | $1.29 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 470 | $0.981 | $461.07 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 80.89 | $0.987 | $79.84 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| AFD deaths foul play confirmed in 2025?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.971 | $3 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.925 | $1.2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.948 | $2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 405.27 | $0.987 | $400 | Oct 26, 2025 |