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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.15 |
| $0.870 |
| $1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.755 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Stepanivka by October 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Sumy by December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by October 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 404 | $0.993 | $401.17 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.931 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 403.42 | $0.994 | $401 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 421 | $0.992 | $417.63 | Sep 18, 2025 |
US strikes Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.909 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 422.96 | $0.993 | $420 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 30?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 30?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Rainbow airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.893 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.991 | $3 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in May?No | sell | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | May 13, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in May?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | May 5, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in April?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.994 | $5.98 | Apr 10, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in April?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?No | sell | 3.06 | $0.998 | $3.05 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Mar 22, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 15, 2025 |