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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.67 | -$0.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 2.7 | $0.320 | $0.86 | 24d ago |
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| Yes |
| 1.89 |
| $0.530 |
| $0.54 |
| -$0.46 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 0.17 | $0.240 | $0.03 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 1.12 |
| $0.850 |
| $0.95 |
| 24d ago |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 3.58 | $0.520 | $1.86 | 24d ago |
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.884 | $0.93 | 24d ago |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.09 | $0.863 | $1.8 | 24d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.820 | $1.03 | 24d ago |
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.910 | $1.06 | 24d ago |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.910 | $1.06 | 24d ago |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 29.41 | $0.120 | $3.53 | 24d ago |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 13.01 | $0.480 | $6.24 | 24d ago |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | sell | 6.64 | $0.870 | $5.78 | 24d ago |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 0.56 | $0.660 | $0.37 | 24d ago |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.880 | $1.43 | 24d ago |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 2.68 | $0.870 | $2.33 | 24d ago |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.930 | $2.02 | 24d ago |
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.730 | $2.35 | 24d ago |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 2.23 | $0.510 | $1.14 | 24d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 2.46 | $0.570 | $1.4 | 24d ago |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 11.55 | $0.470 | $5.43 | 24d ago |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.999 | $1.35 | 24d ago |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 6.7 | $0.818 | $5.48 | 27d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.770 | $1.6 | 27d ago |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.910 | $1.82 | 27d ago |
Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 2.28 | $0.500 | $1.14 | 27d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 1.56 | $0.940 | $1.47 | 27d ago |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.88 | $0.360 | $1.76 | 27d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 44.82 | $0.211 | $9.46 | 27d ago |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 23.16 | $0.730 | $16.91 | 27d ago |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.460 | $0.94 | Aug 9, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.600 | $0.95 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.600 | $0.92 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |