Latest trade
Jul 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 4:32 PM UTC.
Analytics
D33pCynic has made $67.57K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 40 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 4:32 PM UTC.
$100 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 16 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from May 6, 2026 UTC to Jul 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 127.52K | $0.172 | $5.04K | -$16.86K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | +$62.66K | $103.22K | 115 | 21 | 23.8% | $9.99K |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.04K | $0.173 | $700 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-20 01:47 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 16:32 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 16:32 UTC
polymarket positions
41 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 01:47 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $90.5K and losing ones cost $17.72K across 40 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $43.95K on “US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3.25K on “US forces enter Iran by April 30?” (No).
It first traded on 22 Feb 2026 and most recently on 20 Jul 2026, 96 days ago. It has traded 57 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($103.22K). Its open positions are worth $8.82K across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 13.5K |
| $0.298 |
| $2.63K |
| -$1.4K |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.340 | $537.5 | -$312.5 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 1.32K | $0.152 | $473.64 | +$273.64 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 867.05 | $0.231 | $61.56 | -$138.44 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 571.91 | $0.524 | $42.89 | -$257.11 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 297.1 | $0.269 | $31.2 | -$48.8 |
| buy |
| 1.28K |
| $0.078 |
| $100 |
| Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.500 | $511.21 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.489 | $500 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.168 | $200 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.168 | $33.6 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.414 | $436.13 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.414 | $8.28 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 921.55 | $0.414 | $381.52 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.404 | $2.02 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 571.91 | $0.525 | $300 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56K | $0.117 | $300 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 867.05 | $0.231 | $200 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.074 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.999 | $1.9K | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.6K | $0.999 | $2.59K | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.157 | $300 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.279 | $300 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.89K | $0.159 | $300 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.03K | $0.124 | $500 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.263 | $400 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.52K | $0.594 | $900 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 902.3 | $0.340 | $306.78 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.340 | $9.45 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 41.42 | $0.340 | $14.08 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.340 | $518.15 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.51 | $0.340 | $1.53 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.250 | $295.68 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.250 | $333.33 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 117.6 | $0.250 | $29.4 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 46.55 | $0.250 | $11.64 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.250 | $0.33 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.57 | $0.250 | $4.64 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.250 | $0.67 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.250 | $1.04 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.250 | $3.25 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.250 | $3.25 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.250 | $11.75 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.250 | $9.75 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.250 | $3.33 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.67 | $0.250 | $1.17 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.250 | $0.33 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 70.96 | $0.250 | $17.74 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 103.5 | $0.250 | $25.88 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.250 | $0.01 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.