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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 127.52K | $0.172 | $6.25K | -$15.65K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.04K | $0.173 | $700 | Jul 20, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 13.5K |
| $0.298 |
| $1.96K |
| -$2.07K |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 1.32K | $0.152 | $822.29 | +$622.29 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.340 | $512.5 | -$337.5 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 571.91 | $0.524 | $82.93 | -$217.07 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 867.05 | $0.231 | $65.03 | -$134.97 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 297.1 | $0.269 | $31.2 | -$48.8 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | Yes | 4.04K | $0.173 | $2.02 | -$697.98 |
| buy |
| 1.28K |
| $0.078 |
| $100 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.500 | $511.21 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.489 | $500 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.168 | $200 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.168 | $33.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.404 | $2.02 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 571.91 | $0.525 | $300 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56K | $0.117 | $300 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 867.05 | $0.231 | $200 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.074 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.999 | $1.9K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.6K | $0.999 | $2.59K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.157 | $300 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.279 | $300 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.89K | $0.159 | $300 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.03K | $0.124 | $500 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.263 | $400 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.52K | $0.594 | $900 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | buy | 2.02K | $0.495 | $1K | May 5, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.800 | $900 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 8.44K | $0.008 | $68.51 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 5.5K | $0.171 | $940.45 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.5K | $0.340 | $1.53K | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 4K | $0.480 | $1.92K | Apr 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 1.08K | $0.998 | $1.08K | Apr 23, 2026 |
 GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.099 | $197.06 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.150 | $749.67 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 697.49 | $0.087 | $61.03 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 183.1 | $0.074 | $13.62 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.01K | $0.042 | $84.18 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 24.3 | $0.147 | $3.57 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.87K | $0.174 | $325.64 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 157 | $0.160 | $25.06 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.32K | $0.148 | $194.91 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 393.49 | $0.139 | $54.8 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.300 | $1.5K | Apr 22, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?Yes | buy | 516.63 | $0.097 | $50 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 1.23K | $0.800 | $981.94 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 169.87 | $0.243 | $41.27 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 3.39K | $0.987 | $3.35K | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.04K | $0.040 | $200 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.600 | $1K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.17K | $0.920 | $2K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.02K | $0.495 | $1K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.820 | $1K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 3.74K | $0.966 | $3.61K | Apr 21, 2026 |