Latest trade
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 3:51 PM UTC.
Analytics
Ethical-Happiness has made $27.19 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 39 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 3:51 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 107 trades covered 64 markets; 90.7% were buys. They run from Apr 20, 2026 UTC to Oct 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 31.73 | $0.630 | $22.37 | +$2.37 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | 23h ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-25 22:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 15:51 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
107 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 15:51 UTC
polymarket positions
40 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-25 22:50 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $286.08 and losing ones cost $131.55 across 39 settled positions. 74.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $49.97 on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?” (No); the largest loss, $62.23 on “US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Oct 2026. It has traded 64 markets. Its open positions are worth $85.92 across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 231 |
| $0.147 |
| $21.95 |
| -$12.05 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 26.33 | $0.380 | $14.88 | +$4.88 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 297.4 | $0.071 | $8.33 | -$12.67 |
 Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.11 | $0.382 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.58 | $0.660 | $4.73 | -$0.27 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 11.63 | $0.430 | $4.24 | -$0.76 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 31.75 | $0.630 | $1.75 | -$18.25 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 17.24 | $0.290 | $1.47 | -$3.53 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 8.62 | $0.580 | $1.16 | -$3.84 |
| buy |
| 12.44 |
| $0.402 |
| $5 |
| 23h ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.11 | $0.382 | $5 | 11d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | 11d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | 11d ago |
 Will France win on 2026-09-25?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | 24d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.160 | $5.33 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 12.74 | $0.392 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 34.88 | $0.430 | $15 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 115.38 | $0.130 | $15 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?Yes | buy | 7.62 | $0.262 | $2 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 10.04 | $0.598 | $6 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 35.29 | $0.170 | $6 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 101.18 | $0.404 | $40.92 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 105.07 | $0.999 | $104.96 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.033 | $0.64 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 54.55 | $0.110 | $6 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.24 | $0.328 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 101.18 | $0.160 | $16.19 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.