Latest trade
Dec 8, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:29 AM UTC.
Analytics
Leonnoel is down $8.54 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 7 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 8, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:29 AM UTC.
$3 median trade
Its latest 23 trades covered 15 markets; 78.3% were buys. They run from Dec 4, 2025 UTC to Dec 8, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.800 | $4.68 | +$0.68 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.346 | $3.46 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-03 21:44 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 04:29 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
23 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 04:29 UTC
polymarket positions
9 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-03 21:44 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $11.08 and losing ones cost $1.24 across 7 settled positions. 57.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.53 on “Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.9 on “Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 Dec 2025. It has traded 15 markets. Its open positions are worth $6.73 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 10 |
| $0.300 |
| $2.06 |
| -$0.95 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.720 |
| $3.6 |
| Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.130 | $3.9 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.803 | $4.02 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.350 | $2.1 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No | buy | 8 | $0.200 | $1.6 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.850 | $9.35 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.470 | $2.82 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.297 | $2.08 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | sell | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 150 | $0.007 | $1.05 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.