Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89%. Yes opened at 73% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 73% on 5 Dec 2025 and the lowest 11% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 27.5% on 31 Dec 2025. $50.97K traded over the market's life.
70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 6, 5:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 73.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 11.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) changes his X profile picture by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's X account: https://x.com/elonmusk For an example of what Elon Musk's X pfp was at the time of this market's inception, see this link: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elonmuskpfp12042025.png
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-change-his-x-profile-picture-by-december-31-729
| Yes |
| 265 |
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes | 200 |
| andy9k | Yes | 167.7 |
| cautiousyuki | Yes | 105.81 |
| Drual | Yes | 100 |
| Barditto | Yes | 82.98 |
| Romeo005 | Yes | 82.5 |
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