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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.63 | $0.955 | $0.62 | +$0.02 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 0.27 |
| $0.886 |
| $0.25 |
| +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.910 |
| $18.2 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 25.2 | $0.910 | $22.93 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.910 | $39.13 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.580 | $40.02 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 38 | $0.960 | $36.48 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.930 | $35.34 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.920 | $35.88 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.920 | $35.88 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | sell | 38 | $0.810 | $30.78 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.818 | $39.26 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.070 | $0.49 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.090 | $6.84 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 147 | $0.090 | $13.23 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.130 | $10.66 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.140 | $11.48 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.963 | $23.11 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.076 | $1.75 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.790 | $41.08 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.790 | $41.08 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 48 | $0.840 | $40.32 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.839 | $40.27 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.460 | $5.06 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.450 | $35.55 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.470 | $42.3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.016 | $1.07 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.978 | $42.05 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 113 | $0.340 | $38.42 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.186 | $15.44 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 40 | $0.955 | $38.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.962 | $41.37 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.961 | $41.32 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.962 | $37.52 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.540 | $27 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.173 | $14.88 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.184 | $25.76 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 42 | $0.984 | $41.33 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.490 | $6.86 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 40 | $0.988 | $39.52 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 40 | $0.988 | $39.52 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.204 | $14.08 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 39 | $0.957 | $37.32 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 39 | $0.956 | $37.28 | May 31, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.023 | $2.88 | May 31, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.024 | $3 | May 31, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.370 | $21.83 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.049 | $0.34 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.770 | $23.87 | May 30, 2026 |