Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 1.37K | $0.560 | $1.29K | +$523.42 |
 Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No | sell | 382 | $0.370 | $141.34 | Jun 15, 2026 |
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JillWard2486 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #41,560 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$2.78K observed lifetime PnL, 195 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 52.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x506a8933b3800b0987bdd1c4d68b2a41e0211b43
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Yes |
| 13 |
| $0.870 |
| $12.55 |
| +$1.24 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 27 | $0.059 | $0.34 | -$1.26 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.160 | $0.07 | -$0.1 |
| buy |
| 807 |
| $0.750 |
| $605.25 |
| Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No | sell | 192 | $0.230 | $44.16 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?No | sell | 908 | $0.610 | $553.88 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "JD" or "Vance" on Truth Social this week?No | sell | 644 | $0.680 | $437.92 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?No | sell | 8.5 | $0.610 | $5.19 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids GriffinsGrand Rapids Griffins | buy | 739 | $0.361 | $266.78 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?No | buy | 917 | $0.620 | $568.54 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | sell | 652 | $0.790 | $515.08 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | sell | 9 | $0.790 | $7.11 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | sell | 48 | $0.790 | $37.92 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 654 | $0.420 | $274.68 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 654 | $0.810 | $529.74 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 504 | $0.790 | $398.16 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.810 | $11.34 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 ByteDance IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| ByteDance IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| ByteDance IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| ByteDance IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No | buy | 382 | $0.850 | $324.7 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 518 | $0.820 | $424.76 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No | buy | 192 | $0.230 | $44.16 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | buy | 709 | $0.740 | $524.66 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "JD" or "Vance" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 648 | $0.720 | $466.56 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?No | buy | 367 | $0.690 | $253.23 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.900 | $6.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.900 | $6.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.900 | $15.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.900 | $10.8 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.900 | $15.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.900 | $15.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.900 | $15.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.900 | $15.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.900 | $13.5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 884 | $0.740 | $654.16 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 884.1 | $0.730 | $645.39 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 721 | $0.710 | $511.91 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | sell | 136 | $0.640 | $87.04 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?No | sell | 553 | $0.590 | $326.27 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?No | buy | 553 | $0.820 | $453.46 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-02-07?No | sell | 51 | $0.002 | $0.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?No | buy | 766 | $0.829 | $635.01 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No | sell | 460 | $0.830 | $381.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No | buy | 460 | $0.860 | $395.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Nick Tran be the Republican Nominee for TX-08?No | sell | 79 | $0.982 | $77.58 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Nick Tran be the Republican Nominee for TX-08?No | sell | 341 | $0.980 | $334.18 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-02-07?No | buy | 51 | $0.351 | $17.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.