
Resolved No on 10 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 9 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 155 daily closes on record from 9 Feb 2026 to 10 Aug 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 0.1% on 9 Aug 2026. $58.35K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 6:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 155 points, 9 Feb 2026 – 10 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2026 | 48.5% |
| 10 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fleetv | No | 1.75K |
| cluk | Yes | 1.33K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.07K |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 7, 2026, If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mls-ner-hou-2026-03-07
| jonaseyana | Yes | 452.4 |
| RebeccaStone5987 | No | 404 |
| 41911 | Yes | 403 |
| GC-P | Yes | 391.13 |
| DonaldBooker7086 | No | 305 |
| Jjjjoj | Yes | 200 |
| OliviaPaul6164 | Yes | 166 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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