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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 50.22 | $0.597 | $42.44 | +$12.44 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes | sell | 135.5 | $0.160 | $21.68 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 111.11 |
| $0.270 |
| $6.56 |
| -$23.44 |
 Stripe IPO before 2027? | Yes | 150 | $0.200 | $6.53 | -$23.48 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 98.13 | $0.306 | $4.42 | -$25.58 |
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes| buy |
| 24.39 |
| $0.410 |
| $10 |
| Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?Yes | sell | 199.87 | $0.141 | $28.18 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.506 | $60.66 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?Yes | sell | 199.87 | $0.146 | $29.2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?Yes | sell | 120.48 | $0.038 | $4.58 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.055 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.240 | $30 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?Yes | buy | 120.48 | $0.083 | $10 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?Yes | buy | 399.74 | $0.138 | $55.15 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?No | sell | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?No | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 98.13 | $0.306 | $30 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 50.22 | $0.597 | $30 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 xAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.130 | $30 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Stripe IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.200 | $30 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.270 | $30 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 334.45 | $0.150 | $50 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 105.49 | $0.948 | $100 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 57.97 | $0.690 | $40 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 428.57 | $0.007 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 484.37 | $0.006 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.018 | $10 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 63.83 | $0.470 | $30 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.750 | $50 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 72.46 | $0.690 | $50 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 58.46 | $0.851 | $49.74 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 19.48 | $0.860 | $16.75 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 25.98 | $0.861 | $22.38 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 34.64 | $0.908 | $31.45 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 46.18 | $0.910 | $42.02 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 61.57 | $0.910 | $56.03 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 82.1 | $0.910 | $74.71 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 109.46 | $0.919 | $100.61 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | sell | 30.52 | $0.570 | $17.4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 30.53 | $0.655 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 437.87 | $0.914 | $400 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | sell | 18.37 | $0.775 | $14.24 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.003 | $3 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 127.35 | $0.196 | $25 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | sell | 73.5 | $0.766 | $56.33 | Nov 27, 2025 |