Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 10% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 10% on 10 Jun 2026 and the low 0.2% on 12 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 1% on 11 Jun 2026. $1.01K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 13, 12:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 10 Jun 2026 – 12 Jun 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 10.0% |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 106.77K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 9.75K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 9.22K |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 5.46K |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 4.93K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 3.39K |
| graynotebook19 | Yes | 2.52K |
| korda77 | Yes | 2.29K |
| pestanimal | Yes | 2K |
| smallreceipt | Yes | 1.67K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO). The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-closing-market-cap-end-of-ipo-month-20260606222757973
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