Latest trade
Feb 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 7:18 AM UTC.
Analytics
aferguson is down $108.97 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 18 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 7:18 AM UTC.
$47.91 median trade
Its latest 36 trades covered 21 markets; 63.9% were buys. They run from Jan 25, 2025 UTC to Feb 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oilers vs. DucksOilers | buy | 105.85 | $0.550 | $58.22 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-15 13:05 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 07:18 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
36 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 07:18 UTC
polymarket positions
19 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-15 13:05 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $535.77 and losing ones cost $50.93 across 18 settled positions. 66.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $197.97 on “Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?” (No); the largest loss, $31.87 on “No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Feb 2026. It has traded 21 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 181.16 |
| $0.550 |
| $99.64 |
| Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over | buy | 24.49 | $0.840 | $20.57 | Dec 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 29.14 | $0.460 | $13.4 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 29.15 | $0.470 | $13.7 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 167.73 | $0.340 | $57.03 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 167.74 | $0.530 | $88.9 | Nov 18, 2025 UTC |
 Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence CrawfordCrawford | buy | 41.77 | $0.390 | $16.29 | Sep 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | sell | 92.38 | $0.999 | $92.29 | Aug 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 92.39 | $0.490 | $45.27 | Aug 12, 2025 UTC |
 Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?No | buy | 145.94 | $0.530 | $77.35 | Jul 15, 2025 UTC |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 119.5 | $0.290 | $34.66 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 119.5 | $0.380 | $45.41 | Jun 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 175.91 | $0.407 | $71.66 | May 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 175.92 | $0.414 | $72.83 | May 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 412.44 | $0.520 | $214.47 | May 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 958.24 | $0.494 | $472.95 | Apr 8, 2025 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on March 27?Up | buy | 172.81 | $0.520 | $89.86 | Mar 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will USA win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?Yes | buy | 92.2 | $0.510 | $47.02 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 20.9 | $0.480 | $10.03 | Feb 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 20.9 | $0.510 | $10.66 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 103.97 | $0.510 | $53.02 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 103.98 | $0.440 | $45.75 | Feb 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.521 | $15.63 | Feb 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?No | sell | 114.2 | $0.379 | $43.25 | Feb 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?No | buy | 114.2 | $0.439 | $50.09 | Feb 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?No | sell | 102.25 | $0.550 | $56.24 | Feb 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?No | buy | 102.25 | $0.550 | $56.24 | Feb 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?No | sell | 161.2 | $0.543 | $87.55 | Feb 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?No | buy | 161.2 | $0.433 | $69.79 | Feb 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 61.08 | $0.630 | $38.48 | Feb 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 61.08 | $0.610 | $37.26 | Jan 30, 2025 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 45.53 | $0.680 | $30.96 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.53 | $0.640 | $29.14 | Jan 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 84.8 | $0.570 | $48.34 | Jan 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 84.8 | $0.560 | $47.49 | Jan 25, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.