Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5.11 | +$0.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.950 | $1.01 | Jun 24, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 2.37 |
| $0.830 |
| $2.08 |
| +$0.11 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 1.57 | $0.687 | $1.49 | +$0.41 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| buy |
| 2.37 |
| $0.830 |
| $1.97 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.687 | $1.08 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.971 | $4.91 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 5.55 | $0.898 | $4.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.679 | $4.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 6.9 | $0.680 | $4.69 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.720 | $4.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.919 | $4.93 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.294 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.991 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.987 | $3 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.977 | $1.21 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.979 | $1.5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.808 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.940 | $5.88 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.749 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.948 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.917 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)No | sell | 8.21 | $0.972 | $7.98 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |