Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 5 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 5 Feb 2026 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 28% on 6 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 28% on 6 Feb 2026. $187.43K traded over the market's life.
73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 5 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2026 | 16.5% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| eNakeVets | Yes | 7K |
| Royal Horizon E6C0 | Yes | 359.08 |
| Royal Maven D6C1 | Yes | 356.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by the specified date (ET), legislation providing full-year Fiscal Year 2026 discretionary appropriations for the Department of Homeland Security (including via a continuing resolution) has become law, meaning funding through September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying legislation must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". Joint resolutions enacted into law may qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Library of Congress (congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-dhs-receive-full-year-funding
| Yes |
| 306.57 |
| Emerald Meteor 4328 | Yes | 304.85 |
| Emerald Harbor 4464 | Yes | 266.82 |
| Swift Vector 51C8 | Yes | 254.27 |
| Swift Quasar C0F4 | Yes | 216.8 |
| Golden Signal 0694 | Yes | 210.34 |
| Mateo97 | Yes | 138 |
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