Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran strike Jordan in March?No | sell | 40 | $0.144 | $5.75 | Mar 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.100 |
| $4 |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.034 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Gold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?Down | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 1?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 107.41 | $0.997 | $107.09 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 107.42 | $0.031 | $3.3 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 39.7 | $0.086 | $3.41 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 10?No | buy | 77.24 | $0.049 | $3.8 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.024 | $1.6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.170 | $9.44 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 39.71 | $0.068 | $2.7 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.100 | $3.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.048 | $4.8 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.300 | $4 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?Yes | buy | 15.91 | $0.220 | $3.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 13?Yes | buy | 224 | $0.016 | $3.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 13?No | buy | 500 | $0.008 | $4 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.330 | $4.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 13?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 13?Yes | buy | 76.77 | $0.039 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.18 | $0.089 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 8?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.001 | $1.2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 9?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes | buy | 112.29 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?No | sell | 26.97 | $0.109 | $2.93 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 8?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on January 8?Up | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | sell | 62.5 | $0.033 | $2.06 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 7?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 7?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7?Up | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 7?Up | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.032 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |