Latest trade
May 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:34 AM UTC.
Analytics
niamilton8118 is down $1.07 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-31 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:34 AM UTC.
$17.53 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 21 markets; 42.0% were buys. They run from Aug 15, 2025 UTC to May 27, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.600 | $1.8 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-31 04:26 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 06:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 06:34 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-31 04:26 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.22 and losing ones cost $5.29 across the latest 50 settled positions. 32% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1 on “Iran closes its airspace by June 30?” (No); the largest loss, $1.14 on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 27 May 2026. It has traded 58 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No| sell |
| 39 |
| $0.835 |
| $32.57 |
| May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.834 | $32.53 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.650 | $1.95 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.830 | $7.47 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.830 | $24.07 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.860 | $32.68 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 34 | $0.940 | $31.96 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.949 | $27.52 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.949 | $4.75 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 18 | $0.400 | $7.2 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 54 | $0.400 | $21.6 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 90 | $0.400 | $36 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.040 | $2.96 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.049 | $2.21 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.049 | $1.42 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 35 | $0.947 | $33.14 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.940 | $32.9 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 4 | $0.540 | $2.16 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 26 | $0.490 | $12.74 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 38 | $0.490 | $18.62 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 64 | $0.490 | $31.36 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 72 | $0.480 | $34.56 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 76 | $0.470 | $35.72 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 16 | $0.760 | $12.16 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 16 | $0.780 | $12.48 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.043 | $3.44 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.050 | $4 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 38 | $0.942 | $35.8 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 38 | $0.945 | $35.91 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.057 | $0.63 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 67 | $0.058 | $3.89 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.058 | $0.58 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.058 | $2.61 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.058 | $1.33 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | sell | 33 | $0.988 | $32.6 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 33 | $0.985 | $32.51 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 37 | $0.985 | $36.45 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.985 | $36.45 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.931 | $32.59 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.935 | $32.73 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 51 | $0.720 | $36.72 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 51 | $0.720 | $36.72 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.001 | $0 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 17 | $0.967 | $16.44 | Sep 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 6 | $0.977 | $5.86 | Aug 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.020 | $0.02 | Aug 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 49 | $0.946 | $46.35 | Aug 15, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.