Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 20, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.1M

Resolved

Settled

Nov 20, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 7 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 198 daily closes on record from 7 May 2025 to 20 Nov 2025, the highest close was 30.9% on 2 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 26.7% on 1 Nov 2025. $3.06M traded over the market's life.

455 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 21, 4:32 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 198 points, 7 May 2025 – 20 Nov 2025

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.77M
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	68.01K
NickSaur	Yes	35.83K

Rules

How this market was settled

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled. This market will resolve to the candidate that wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Serval) (https://www.servel.cl/).