Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 10.55 | $0.109 | $1.15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 15.17 |
| $0.076 |
| $1.15 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 15.18 | $0.085 | $1.29 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.031 | $1.29 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETDown | buy | 4.7 | $0.210 | $0.99 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETUp | buy | 4.31 | $0.450 | $1.94 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | sell | 8.96 | $0.990 | $8.87 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 4.7 | $0.210 | $0.99 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 4.19 | $0.700 | $2.93 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETDown | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETUp | buy | 5.85 | $0.720 | $4.21 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp | buy | 9.78 | $0.300 | $2.93 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETUp | buy | 3.78 | $0.260 | $0.98 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | buy | 194.16 | $0.850 | $165.04 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.600 | $13.63 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 76.74 | $0.870 | $66.76 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?Yes | buy | 30.53 | $0.600 | $18.32 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.270 | $18 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 76.74 | $0.860 | $66 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.045 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.045 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.250 | $26.32 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 17.09 | $0.585 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 238.09 | $0.018 | $4.29 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.021 | $5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?Yes | buy | 76.67 | $0.326 | $25 | Jan 5, 2026 |