Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 44.5%. Yes opened at 77% on 27 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2025 to 7 Jan 2026, the highest close was 77% on 27 Dec 2025 and the lowest 15.5% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 56% on 6 Jan 2026. $396.56K traded over the market's life.
117 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 9, 12:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 27 Dec 2025 – 7 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | 77.0% |
| 7 Jan 2026 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| techfreak | No | 20K |
| Grocerystore. | No | 17.24K |
| Dependable-Blight | No | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize another ship that is transporting, or is intended to transport, oil to or from Venezuela by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refers to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-forces-seize-another-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-in-2025-451
| No |
| 9.84K |
| ortymd | No | 7K |
| Zebra13 | No | 3K |
| FTX2.0 | No | 3K |
| megumifushiguro | No | 2.01K |
| jayknor | No | 1.66K |
| Stable-Armament | No | 1.51K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
