Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? | No | 277.83 | $0.234 | $218.09 | +$153.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 20.44 | $0.190 | $3.88 | 20h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 156.4 |
| $0.491 |
| $28.93 |
| -$47.89 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 30 | $0.560 | $15.45 | -$1.35 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 45.11 | $0.292 | $10.15 | -$3.05 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 149.98 | $0.227 | $9.75 | -$24.25 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 93.86 | $0.188 | $8.92 | -$8.74 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 31.11 | $0.347 | $8.87 | -$1.93 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.620 | $8.65 | +$2.45 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | No | 63.7 | $0.107 | $6.85 | -$0 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.208 | $5.5 | -$15.3 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 5.11 | $0.510 | $4.37 | +$1.76 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison? | Yes | 50 | $0.160 | $3.75 | -$4.25 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 3.37 | $0.891 | $2.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.13 | $0.940 | $1.86 | -$0.14 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 10 | $0.200 | $1.25 | -$0.75 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| sell |
| 17.54 |
| $0.310 |
| $5.44 |
| 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 65.94 | $0.170 | $11.21 | 4d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.41 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 10d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 49.67 | $0.022 | $1.09 | 15d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 148.97 | $0.028 | $4.12 | 20d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 79.47 | $0.040 | $3.18 | 20d ago |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.089 | $4.45 | 20d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.090 | $2.7 | 26d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | 26d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 594.64 | $0.720 | $428.34 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 19.26 | $0.730 | $14.06 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 700 | $0.730 | $511 | 28d ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.010 | $0.07 | 29d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 21.54 | $0.240 | $5.17 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 252.01 | $0.230 | $57.96 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 40 | $0.330 | $13.2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 45.31 | $0.570 | $25.83 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 60.42 | $0.570 | $34.44 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 59.94 | $0.830 | $49.75 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 45.6 | $0.070 | $3.19 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 137 | $0.370 | $50.69 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.540 | $27 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 30 | $0.410 | $12.3 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50.49 | $0.390 | $19.69 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.380 | $30.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.036 | $1.33 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | sell | 20.43 | $0.360 | $7.35 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.16 | $0.060 | $0.91 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 189.27 | $0.050 | $9.46 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 134.58 | $0.013 | $1.75 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 129.3 | $0.010 | $1.29 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 54.67 | $0.150 | $8.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 31.62 | $0.570 | $18.02 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | sell | 11.23 | $0.950 | $10.67 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.080 | $2.96 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 60.6 | $0.080 | $4.85 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 193.67 | $0.130 | $25.18 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.145 | $5.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.217 | $8.7 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | sell | 78.53 | $0.370 | $29.06 | Jul 19, 2026 |