Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 58.5%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 2 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 46 daily closes on record from 2 Jan 2026 to 16 Feb 2026, the highest close was 82% on 8 Jan 2026 and the lowest 34.5% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 82% on 8 Jan 2026. $273.48K traded over the market's life.
104 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 2 Jan 2026 – 16 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | 34.5% |
| 16 Feb 2026 | 58.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| defidegen42069 | No | 3.46K |
| LukeDelta | No | 2.5K |
| tagdeus | Yes | 2.43K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final sale price paid for the Pokemon Base Set 1st Edition Holo #4 Charizard - Logan Paul Break is greater than the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If no sale is completed by February 28, 2026, ET this market will resolve to "No". The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (see: https://goldin.co/item/1999-pokemon-base-set-1st-edition-rare-holofoil-logan-paul-break-4-chajdvc5).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/logan-paul-1st-edition-charizard-sale-price
| No |
| 1.56K |
| ChetterHummin | No | 1.51K |
| Hot-Anyone | No | 1K |
| Busdriver23 | No | 990.15 |
| Soupy-Adulthood | No | 690.1 |
| classxbt | No | 564.84 |
| c01j | No | 476.96 |
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