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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 15.63 | $0.640 | $8.52 | -$1.48 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 Week of September 7 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 17.86 |
| $0.560 |
| $5.98 |
| -$4.02 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 2.95 | $0.550 | $1.31 | -$0.31 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6 | $0.230 | $0.19 | -$1.19 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | No | 4.17 | $0.530 | $0.04 | -$2.17 |
| buy |
| 2.95 |
| $0.550 |
| $1.62 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.530 | $2.21 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | 6d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | 8d ago |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | 8d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | 8d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | 11d ago |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in August?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | 11d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | 13d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 12.87 | $0.777 | $10 | 17d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.780 | $4.38 | 18d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | 19d ago |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?Up | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 24.88 | $0.402 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.335 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 14.61 | $0.690 | $10.08 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.640 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 4.33 | $0.510 | $2.21 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.502 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 3 | $0.370 | $1.11 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 12.81 | $0.790 | $10.12 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Regulation" during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 12.75 | $0.240 | $3.06 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 9 | $0.470 | $4.23 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.500 | $2.55 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 2.84 | $0.690 | $1.96 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Yes | buy | 15.23 | $0.660 | $10.05 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.530 | $1.99 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.390 | $6.24 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5%-7.5%?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.770 | $1.95 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.610 | $1.86 | Jul 21, 2026 |