Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?

Resolved

Yes, settled Aug 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$114.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 31, 2026 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 31 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 74%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 28 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2026 to 31 Aug 2026, the highest close was 74% on 31 Aug 2026 and the lowest 44.5% on 28 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 74% on 31 Aug 2026. $114.3K traded over the market's life.

56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 5:42 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 28 Aug 2026 – 31 Aug 2026, chart shows 30%–80%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Aug 2026	44.5%
31 Aug 2026	74.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	45.91K
Happy-Tofu	No	5.22K
dz1ft	No	2.44K
Remarkable-Hop	No	571.43

10 of 56 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 29 12:00 PM ET to August 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.