Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
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wtf-848 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,316,316 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$37.85 observed lifetime PnL, 44 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 46.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x4a2e829922cc1dce0d72cc6fca83fbe5fc6a5645
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 5.88 |
| $0.170 |
| $1 |
| Sep 18, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-14?Yes | buy | 0.28 | $0.360 | $0.1 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Sharks vs. HurricanesHurricanes | buy | 0.12 | $0.840 | $0.1 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.003 | $0.1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.003 | $0.1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 0.71 | $0.140 | $0.1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.008 | $0.1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Browns vs. SteelersBrowns | buy | 0.36 | $0.280 | $0.1 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Browns vs. SteelersBrowns | buy | 0.36 | $0.280 | $0.1 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Browns vs. SteelersSteelers | buy | 0.14 | $0.740 | $0.1 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Browns vs. SteelersBrowns | buy | 0.36 | $0.280 | $0.1 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Steelers vs. BrownsBrowns | buy | 0.29 | $0.350 | $0.1 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Steelers vs. BrownsBrowns | sell | 0.1 | $0.330 | $0.03 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Steelers vs. BrownsSteelers | buy | 0.15 | $0.670 | $0.1 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Steelers vs. BrownsSteelers | sell | 0.1 | $0.650 | $0.07 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Texans vs. CowboysTexans | buy | 0.13 | $0.770 | $0.1 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Texans vs. CowboysTexans | buy | 0.13 | $0.770 | $0.1 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Texans vs. CowboysTexans | buy | 0.13 | $0.770 | $0.1 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Texans vs. CowboysTexans | buy | 0.13 | $0.770 | $0.1 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Texans vs. CowboysTexans | buy | 0.13 | $0.770 | $0.1 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Texans vs. CowboysTexans | buy | 0.13 | $0.770 | $0.1 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Texans vs. CowboysTexans | buy | 0.13 | $0.770 | $0.1 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Texans vs. CowboysTexans | buy | 0.13 | $0.770 | $0.1 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Texans vs. CowboysTexans | buy | 0.13 | $0.770 | $0.1 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Texans vs. CowboysTexans | buy | 0.13 | $0.770 | $0.1 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.17 | $0.606 | $0.1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.17 | $0.606 | $0.1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.25 | $0.396 | $0.1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.2 | $0.497 | $0.1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 0.2 | $0.499 | $0.1 | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 0.21 | $0.481 | $0.1 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 U.S. Recession in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.63 | $0.160 | $0.1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Kamala president by Friday?Yes | buy | 789.47 | $0.076 | $60 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.16 | $0.630 | $0.1 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 0.18 | $0.550 | $0.1 | Jul 10, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 0.25 | $0.400 | $0.1 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Feb 21, 2024 |
| Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Feb 21, 2024 |
| Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.006 | $10 | Feb 21, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift engaged by April 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Jan 30, 2024 |
 Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend?No | buy | 86.96 | $0.115 | $10 | Oct 8, 2023 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.