Latest trade
Nov 16, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 9:10 AM UTC.
Nizarius has made $2.59K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 39 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Nov 16, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 9:10 AM UTC.
$9.42 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 18 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Aug 11, 2025 UTC to Nov 16, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?No | sell | 52 | $0.660 | $34.32 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-20 17:57 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 09:10 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 09:10 UTC
polymarket positions
40 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-20 17:57 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.69K and losing ones cost $1.28K across 39 settled positions. 48.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $726.49 on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $375.78 on “Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Nov 2025. It has traded 61 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 48 |
| $0.660 |
| $31.68 |
| Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 13?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.130 | $19.76 | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 13?Yes | buy | 0.27 | $0.130 | $0.04 | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 13?Yes | buy | 47.73 | $0.130 | $6.2 | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 13?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?Yes | buy | 426.52 | $0.023 | $9.81 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.023 | $0.05 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.022 | $11 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?Yes | buy | 60.33 | $0.023 | $1.39 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?Yes | buy | 11.1 | $0.023 | $0.26 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 99.78 | $0.048 | $4.79 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.048 | $1.39 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.048 | $2.88 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 40.57 | $0.048 | $1.95 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 63.03 | $0.048 | $3.03 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 42.02 | $0.048 | $2.02 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.048 | $0.24 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.048 | $1.44 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.048 | $0.48 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?No | buy | 151.5 | $0.072 | $10.91 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.6 | $0.048 | $0.99 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.031 | $12.4 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Yes | buy | 69.71 | $0.021 | $1.46 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Yes | buy | 430.29 | $0.021 | $9.04 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?No | buy | 7.54 | $0.072 | $0.54 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?No | buy | 40.95 | $0.072 | $2.95 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 6?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.100 | $0.7 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 6?Yes | buy | 144 | $0.100 | $14.4 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 6?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.100 | $0.6 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 6?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.100 | $0.7 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 6?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.100 | $3.6 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?No | buy | 150 | $0.140 | $21 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?No | buy | 80 | $0.142 | $11.36 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 6?No | buy | 69 | $0.049 | $3.38 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 6?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 6?No | buy | 131 | $0.049 | $6.42 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.025 | $25 | Sep 11, 2025 UTC |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 165 | $0.150 | $24.75 | Sep 11, 2025 UTC |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.340 | $102 | Aug 17, 2025 UTC |
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?No | sell | 1.32K | $0.443 | $584.02 | Aug 15, 2025 UTC |
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?No | sell | 100 | $0.443 | $44.3 | Aug 15, 2025 UTC |
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?No | sell | 750 | $0.272 | $204 | Aug 14, 2025 UTC |
Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?Yes | sell | 979.28 | $0.090 | $88.14 | Aug 14, 2025 UTC |
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?No | buy | 500 | $0.320 | $160 | Aug 14, 2025 UTC |
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.060 | $100 | Aug 14, 2025 UTC |
Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?Yes | buy | 979.29 | $0.204 | $200 | Aug 14, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.300 | $150 | Aug 11, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.