Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?No | sell | 48 | $0.660 | $31.68 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 47.73 |
| $0.130 |
| $6.2 |
| Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 13?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.022 | $11 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?Yes | buy | 11.1 | $0.023 | $0.26 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.6 | $0.048 | $0.99 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.031 | $12.4 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Yes | buy | 430.29 | $0.021 | $9.04 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?No | buy | 40.95 | $0.072 | $2.95 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?No | buy | 150 | $0.140 | $21 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?No | buy | 80 | $0.142 | $11.36 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 6?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 6?No | buy | 131 | $0.049 | $6.42 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.025 | $25 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 165 | $0.150 | $24.75 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.340 | $102 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?No | sell | 100 | $0.443 | $44.3 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?No | sell | 750 | $0.272 | $204 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?Yes | sell | 979.28 | $0.090 | $88.14 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?No | buy | 500 | $0.320 | $160 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.060 | $100 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?Yes | buy | 979.29 | $0.204 | $200 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?Yes | buy | 25.78 | $0.620 | $15.98 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.190 | $95 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | sell | 235.44 | $0.023 | $5.42 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.220 | $13.2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 450 | $0.270 | $121.5 | May 1, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high in April?Yes | buy | 190.54 | $0.011 | $2.1 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?Yes | sell | 294.11 | $0.500 | $147.06 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.170 | $50 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk before May?Yes | sell | 769.23 | $0.090 | $69.23 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.45K | $0.011 | $25.92 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | buy | 109.52 | $0.240 | $26.28 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | sell | 68.33 | $0.006 | $0.42 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | sell | 803.48 | $0.180 | $144.63 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?No | sell | 143.57 | $0.140 | $20.1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.032 | $19.2 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?Yes | sell | 62.61 | $0.040 | $2.5 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | sell | 294.11 | $0.010 | $2.94 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?No | buy | 143.57 | $0.348 | $50 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.160 | $40 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.130 | $65 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Syria hold national elections before July?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Feb 19, 2025 |