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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.99 | $0.957 | $0.97 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.982 | $13.75 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 28 |
| $0.710 |
| $19.88 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.740 | $20.72 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.941 | $47.05 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.939 | $46.95 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 62 | $0.670 | $41.54 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 56 | $0.816 | $45.7 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.191 | $4.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 51 | $0.810 | $41.31 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 30.47 | $0.957 | $29.16 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 53 | $0.807 | $42.77 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.037 | $1.63 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.038 | $6.46 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 28 | $0.430 | $12.04 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.420 | $15.96 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.560 | $24.08 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.560 | $24.08 | May 29, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.039 | $1.09 | May 29, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.042 | $0.63 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.042 | $2.94 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.046 | $3.22 | May 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.520 | $15.08 | May 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.520 | $15.08 | May 27, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 38 | $0.930 | $35.34 | May 26, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 46 | $0.930 | $42.78 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 48 | $0.965 | $46.32 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 8 | $0.982 | $7.86 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | sell | 29 | $0.998 | $28.94 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 7 | $0.937 | $6.56 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.991 | $5.95 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 3 | $0.967 | $2.9 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 29 | $0.972 | $28.19 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 29 | $0.968 | $28.07 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 35 | $0.971 | $33.99 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 35 | $0.980 | $34.3 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | sell | 35 | $0.971 | $33.99 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 34 | $0.973 | $33.08 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | sell | 18 | $0.986 | $17.75 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No | sell | 34 | $0.989 | $33.63 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No | buy | 34 | $0.988 | $33.59 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?No | sell | 37 | $0.967 | $35.78 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 8 | $0.963 | $7.7 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 40 | $0.992 | $39.68 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 40 | $0.993 | $39.72 | Aug 21, 2025 |