Latest trade
Aug 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 6:37 PM UTC.
Analytics
Occidentaliste has made $767.84 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 6:37 PM UTC.
$59.68 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 149 markets; 65.0% were buys. They run from Feb 25, 2026 UTC to Aug 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?Yes | sell | 28.25 | $0.308 | $8.7 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 16:18 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-17 18:37 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-17 18:37 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 01:14 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $1.73K and losing ones cost $505.81 across the latest 50 settled positions. 66% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $230.62 on “Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $172.64 on “Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” (Yes).
It first traded on 14 Oct 2025 and most recently on 25 Aug 2026. It has traded 314 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 54.09 |
| $0.778 |
| $42.08 |
| Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 799.97 | $0.050 | $40 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.350 | $105 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 153.52 | $0.910 | $139.7 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.710 | $284 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.840 | $336 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | sell | 650 | $0.920 | $598 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 599.98 | $0.910 | $545.98 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 699.95 | $0.817 | $571.58 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 829.99 | $0.920 | $763.59 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.948 | $947.74 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 499.97 | $0.530 | $264.98 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.989 | $692.3 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 149.1 | $0.570 | $84.99 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 350.88 | $0.570 | $200 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.260 | $260 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.250 | $250 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 482.93 | $0.850 | $410.49 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.390 | $406.37 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | sell | 233.02 | $0.530 | $123.5 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 241.73 | $0.621 | $150 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.384 | $400 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | buy | 233.02 | $0.429 | $100 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 482.93 | $0.590 | $284.93 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.211 | $105.5 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 495 | $0.870 | $430.65 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.650 | $455 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 495 | $0.690 | $341.55 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.070 | $70 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No | sell | 13.81 | $0.790 | $10.91 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 387.13 | $0.775 | $300 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.800 | $200 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 152.78 | $0.720 | $110 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 294.12 | $0.680 | $200 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 258.69 | $0.710 | $183.67 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 168.74 | $0.496 | $83.66 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 168.75 | $0.558 | $94.24 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 101.81 | $0.499 | $50.85 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 101.81 | $0.530 | $53.96 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.244 | $121.93 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No | buy | 308.64 | $0.810 | $250 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No | sell | 283.07 | $0.331 | $93.71 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 587.21 | $0.975 | $572.53 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.19K | $0.976 | $1.16K | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1K | $0.690 | $690 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No | buy | 283.08 | $0.883 | $250 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.