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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 29.09 | $0.550 | $16 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.62 |
| $0.890 |
| $5 |
| May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 30.95 | $0.480 | $14.86 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?No | buy | 13.19 | $0.910 | $12 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.95 | $0.840 | $26 | May 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49.38 | $0.810 | $40 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?No | buy | 23.06 | $0.954 | $22 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 64.58 | $0.960 | $62 | May 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 31.35 | $0.998 | $31.29 | May 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 31.35 | $0.510 | $15.99 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.785 | $3 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 20.69 | $0.145 | $3 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 10.8 | $0.926 | $10 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes | sell | 28.27 | $0.959 | $27.1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes | buy | 28.28 | $0.876 | $24.77 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.72 | $0.940 | $7.26 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 8.43 | $0.861 | $7.26 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.890 | $32.97 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 23.49 | $0.893 | $20.98 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 14.03 | $0.797 | $11.18 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?No | buy | 12.36 | $0.890 | $11 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?No | buy | 12.3 | $0.976 | $12 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 60 or more times during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 12.63 | $0.950 | $12 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?No | buy | 13.67 | $0.951 | $13 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump post 60-69 times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21?No | buy | 20.3 | $0.985 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 14-21?No | buy | 13.28 | $0.979 | $13 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 20.86 | $0.959 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 17-24?No | buy | 21.72 | $0.921 | $20 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Trudeau resigns before February?Yes | buy | 21.07 | $0.949 | $20 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?No | buy | 14.18 | $0.966 | $13.7 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Dec 27-Jan 3?No | buy | 20.68 | $0.967 | $20 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Dec 6-13?No | buy | 16.93 | $0.945 | $16 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 50.56 | $0.989 | $50 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Cavaliers vs. HornetsCavaliers | buy | 21.59 | $0.880 | $19 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?Yes | buy | 61.29 | $0.850 | $52.1 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will the Centre Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?No | buy | 30.22 | $0.988 | $29.86 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?No | buy | 27.87 | $0.933 | $26 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in November?No | buy | 52.1 | $0.977 | $50.9 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Solana above $200 on November 15?Yes | buy | 17.36 | $0.890 | $15.45 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 40-49 times Nov 8-15?No | buy | 33.54 | $0.989 | $33.17 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 200-224 times November 8-15?No | buy | 33.18 | $0.972 | $32.25 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Hawks vs. CelticsCeltics | buy | 35.56 | $0.900 | $32 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 49ers vs. Buccaneers49ers | buy | 34.84 | $0.850 | $29.61 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Raptors vs. LakersLakers | buy | 29.41 | $0.850 | $25 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Heat vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | buy | 15.97 | $0.910 | $14.53 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Nets vs. CavaliersCavaliers | buy | 18.18 | $0.880 | $16 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?Yes | buy | 30.53 | $0.910 | $27.78 | Nov 8, 2024 |