Analytics
Smoggy-Lambkin is down $12.55 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 17 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M? | Yes | 55.38 | $0.018 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 16:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
15 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 23:07 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-23 23:07 UTC
polymarket positions
19 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 16:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $23.84 and losing ones cost $26 across 17 settled positions. 35.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $16.72 on “China x Philippines military clash before 2027?” (Yes); the largest loss, $16 on “US forces enter Iran by April 30?” (No).
It has traded 41 markets. Its open positions are worth $11.16 across 15 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 28.57 |
| $0.035 |
| $0.99 |
| -$0.01 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.040 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | Yes | 21.7 | $0.046 | $0.88 | -$0.12 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.030 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.007 | $0.79 | -$0.21 |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $4M and $5M? | Yes | 192.19 | $0.005 | $0.77 | -$0.23 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.036 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.41 | $0.049 | $0.73 | -$0.27 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 63.41 | $0.016 | $0.54 | -$0.46 |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3M and $4M? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.012 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M? | Yes | 72.94 | $0.014 | $0.44 | -$0.56 |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $5M and $6M? | Yes | 55.94 | $0.018 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
