Latest trade
Dec 17, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:32 AM UTC.
Analytics
pavoff is down $44.93 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 15 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 17, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:32 AM UTC.
$13.15 median trade
Its latest 48 trades covered 27 markets; 66.7% were buys. They run from Dec 3, 2025 UTC to Dec 17, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | sell | 16.78 | $0.830 | $13.93 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 15:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 05:32 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
48 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 05:32 UTC
polymarket positions
17 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 15:30 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $45.95 and losing ones cost $2.97 across 15 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15.86 on “Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.4 on “Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Dec 2025. It has traded 27 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 16.78 |
| $0.880 |
| $14.77 |
| Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 24.26 | $0.580 | $14.07 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 24.26 | $0.610 | $14.8 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | sell | 10.91 | $0.956 | $10.43 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | sell | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.135 | $1.35 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.233 | $2.33 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.240 | $1.8 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.207 | $4.14 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.134 | $4.02 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.036 | $1.44 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 200 | $0.880 | $176 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will no listed leader be out in 2025?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.870 | $13.92 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No | buy | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 76.54 | $0.800 | $61.23 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 4.68 | $0.800 | $3.74 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?No | sell | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 39.34 | $0.750 | $29.51 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.750 | $13.5 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 23.88 | $0.750 | $17.91 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will no listed leader be out in 2025?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.800 | $12.8 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 10.92 | $0.916 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 1m ago. Watch only — not advice.