Latest trade
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 7:48 PM UTC.
Falus is down $31.72 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 7:48 PM UTC.
$1.87 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 26 markets; 52.0% were buys. They run from Mar 18, 2026 UTC to Oct 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | No | 3.73 | $0.875 | $3.07 | -$0.19 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.951 | $1.74 | 4d ago |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-01 12:51 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 19:48 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 19:48 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-01 12:51 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $22.05 and losing ones cost $62.63 across the latest 50 settled positions. 48% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.41 on “Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $25 on “Will Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Oct 2026. It has traded 125 markets. Its open positions are worth $14.07 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 2.33 |
| $0.790 |
| $2.1 |
| +$0.26 |
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 2.06 | $0.963 | $2.03 | +$0.05 |
Weed rescheduled by December 31? | No | 2.17 | $0.801 | $1.99 | +$0.25 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.89 | $0.910 | $1.8 | +$0.08 |
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2.12 | $0.920 | $1.56 | -$0.39 |
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | No | 1.83 | $0.951 | $1.52 | -$0.22 |
| buy |
| 2.06 |
| $0.963 |
| $1.98 |
| 14d ago |
Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.993 | $2.03 | 24d ago |
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.920 | $1.95 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.930 | $1.68 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 24-30?Yes | buy | 2.87 | $0.840 | $2.41 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will gas hit $3.90 (Low) by August 31?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.770 | $1.89 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.76 | $0.940 | $1.65 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chevron (CVX) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.0M?Yes | buy | 1.66 | $0.990 | $1.64 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Over $1.5M committed to the TownSquare public sale?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.950 | $1.63 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
Weed rescheduled by December 31?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.801 | $1.74 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.870 | $1.58 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.880 | $1.68 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 18?Up | buy | 1.85 | $0.880 | $1.63 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.84 | $0.888 | $1.63 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.88 | $0.829 | $1.56 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-29?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.780 | $2.26 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
Will the median home value in the US be between $432,000 and $434,000 on May 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.890 | $1.85 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano DarderiCasper Ruud | buy | 2.42 | $0.740 | $1.79 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.830 | $1.78 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.790 | $1.84 | May 2, 2026 UTC |
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.870 | $1.72 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 16?Up | buy | 2.17 | $0.840 | $1.83 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.976 | $1.78 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.71 | $0.680 | $1.84 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.721 | $1.56 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 1.91K | $0.998 | $1.9K | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 39.81 | $0.998 | $39.73 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 26.68 | $0.998 | $26.63 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 37.73 | $0.998 | $37.65 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 16.16 | $0.998 | $16.13 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.998 | $54.89 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.998 | $1.15 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.998 | $6.99 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.998 | $1.44 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.998 | $7.98 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.998 | $1.2 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 0.43 | $0.998 | $0.43 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 39.32 | $0.998 | $39.24 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 580.67 | $0.998 | $579.51 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 21.48 | $0.998 | $21.44 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 0.35 | $0.998 | $0.35 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 2.74K | $0.997 | $2.74K | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 76.43 | $0.998 | $76.28 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 15.9 | $0.998 | $15.87 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 2.46 | $0.998 | $2.46 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.998 | $7.98 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 31.52 | $0.998 | $31.46 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.998 | $29.94 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.