Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:39 AM UTC.
Analytics
thegooseman is down $26.37 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 7 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:39 AM UTC.
$2.26 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 32 markets; 84.0% were buys. They run from Oct 8, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | No | 16.66 | $0.300 | $5.83 | +$0.83 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | 7h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 13:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
17 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 08:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 08:39 UTC
polymarket positions
9 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 13:50 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.01 and losing ones cost $0.06 across 7 settled positions. 85.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.49 on “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (No); the largest loss, $0.06 on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 33 markets. Its open positions are worth $44.92 across 17 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 14.12 |
| $0.354 |
| $5.08 |
| +$0.08 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | No | 16.72 | $0.299 | $4.92 | -$0.08 |
 US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | No | 17.32 | $0.250 | $4.59 | +$0.26 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.340 | $3.35 | -$0.05 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 17.45 | $0.220 | $3.05 | -$0.79 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 12.34 | $0.405 | $2.84 | -$2.15 |
 Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | Yamal | 10 | $0.480 | $2.75 | -$2.05 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 10.38 | $0.260 | $2.34 | -$0.36 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5.01 | $0.477 | $2.32 | -$0.07 |
 Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | No | 5.31 | $0.399 | $1.94 | -$0.18 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 11.67 | $0.173 | $1.88 | -$0.13 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.01 | $0.397 | $1.81 | -$0.18 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | Yes | 19.13 | $0.058 | $1.49 | +$0.38 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10.51 | $0.310 | $0.68 | -$2.57 |
 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 9.96 | $0.002 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.052 | $0.01 | +$0 |
| sell |
| 31.38 |
| $0.217 |
| $6.81 |
| 18h ago |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?No | sell | 56.79 | $0.103 | $5.85 | 18h ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | 18h ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | sell | 19.1 | $0.067 | $1.28 | 18h ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.9 | $0.630 | $4.98 | 18h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Yes | buy | 19.13 | $0.058 | $1.11 | 1d ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 11.67 | $0.173 | $2.02 | 1d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?No | buy | 16.66 | $0.300 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 17.45 | $0.220 | $3.84 | 2d ago |
 Florence: Yanaki Milev vs Lorenzo GiustinoLorenzo Giustino | buy | 5.48 | $0.350 | $1.92 | 2d ago |
 Will Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?No | buy | 18.54 | $0.066 | $1.22 | 5d ago |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No | buy | 17.32 | $0.250 | $4.33 | 5d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 19.24 | $0.052 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.399 | $2.12 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?No | buy | 56.81 | $0.088 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?No | buy | 14.12 | $0.354 | $5 | 6d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | sell | 490 | $0.001 | $0.49 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?No | sell | 16.09 | $0.046 | $0.74 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?No | buy | 147.05 | $0.034 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.477 | $2.39 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.397 | $1.99 | 8d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.9 | $0.330 | $2.61 | 8d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.51 | $0.310 | $3.26 | 8d ago |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Yamal | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 9d ago |
 US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?No | buy | 101 | $0.010 | $1.01 | 9d ago |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No | buy | 9.59 | $0.299 | $2.87 | 10d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 31.41 | $0.133 | $4.18 | 10d ago |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No | buy | 7.13 | $0.299 | $2.13 | 10d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?No | buy | 88.23 | $0.034 | $3 | 10d ago |
 Spread: Falcons (-7.5)Falcons | buy | 14.28 | $0.350 | $5 | 11d ago |
 1H Spread: Boise State (-3.5)Fresno State | buy | 6.04 | $0.450 | $2.72 | 12d ago |
| FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 12.34 | $0.405 | $5 | 13d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 10.38 | $0.260 | $2.7 | 13d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.840 | $4.94 | 13d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 431.06 | $0.002 | $0.86 | 13d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 8.22 | $0.002 | $0.02 | 13d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 7.01 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 13d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 14d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 1.83 | $0.002 | $0 | 14d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 2.24 | $0.002 | $0 | 14d ago |
 Thunder vs. HawksThunder | buy | 13.62 | $0.367 | $5 | 14d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 1.77 | $0.002 | $0 | 14d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 39.51 | $0.002 | $0.08 | 14d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | 14d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 1.4 | $0.002 | $0 | 14d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.