Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 25.65 | $0.170 | $3.27 | -$1.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.510 | $1.06 | 22h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 54.19 |
| $0.064 |
| $3.14 |
| -$0.33 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 22.44 | $0.110 | $2.8 | +$0.34 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | Yes | 16.82 | $0.220 | $2.27 | -$1.43 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | Yes | 15.97 | $0.310 | $1.92 | -$3.03 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 7.49 | $0.290 | $1.61 | -$0.56 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | Yes | 11.17 | $0.112 | $1.49 | +$0.25 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.100 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 6.63 | $0.160 | $1.03 | -$0.03 |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.510 | $0.76 | -$0.3 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 2.98 | $0.185 | $0.74 | +$0.19 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 5.49 | $0.195 | $0.72 | -$0.35 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? | Yes | 1.11 | $0.910 | $0.52 | -$0.49 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | Yes | 5.34 | $0.120 | $0.35 | -$0.29 |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 10.77 | $0.140 | $0.31 | -$1.2 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? | Yes | 1.53 | $0.157 | $0.27 | +$0.03 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 4.34 | $0.120 | $0.24 | -$0.28 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | No | 0.59 | $0.266 | $0.18 | +$0.02 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 0.43 | $0.267 | $0.16 | +$0.05 |
 SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? | OpenAI | 0.34 | $0.059 | $0.16 | +$0.14 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 4.13 | $0.077 | $0.13 | -$0.18 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | Yes | 0.76 | $0.081 | $0.1 | +$0.04 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 1.32 | $0.190 | $0.1 | -$0.15 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | No | 0.88 | $0.160 | $0.06 | -$0.08 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | Yes | 1 | $0.029 | $0.02 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.100 |
| $4 |
| 23h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40.27 | $0.110 | $4.43 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | 1d ago |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 9.22 | $0.630 | $5.81 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 0.49 | $0.630 | $0.31 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 11.13 | $0.630 | $7.01 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.690 | $0.35 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40.27 | $0.110 | $4.43 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 29.63 | $0.880 | $26.07 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 39.36 | $0.110 | $4.33 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.100 | $3.9 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 39.36 | $0.110 | $4.33 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40.27 | $0.110 | $4.43 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.100 | $4.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.55 | $0.110 | $1.71 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.09 | $0.110 | $3.42 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.9 | $0.870 | $7.74 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.74 | $0.860 | $9.24 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.36 | $0.860 | $0.31 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.920 | $1.88 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.87 | $0.900 | $5.28 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 15.46 | $0.570 | $8.81 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 5.9 | $0.580 | $3.42 | 1d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 5.63 | $0.510 | $2.87 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.49 | $0.840 | $0.41 | 1d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 8 | $0.996 | $7.97 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 3.6 | $0.998 | $3.59 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 0.48 | $0.996 | $0.48 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 4.5 | $0.997 | $4.49 | 2d ago |
 Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 3.05 | $0.993 | $3.03 | 2d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 5.64 | $0.330 | $1.86 | 2d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 9.8 | $0.120 | $1.18 | 2d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 9.57 | $0.140 | $1.34 | 2d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.140 | $1.54 | 2d ago |
| Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 10.97 | $0.997 | $10.94 | 2d ago |
| Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.989 | $10.89 | 2d ago |
 Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 23.85 | $0.993 | $23.68 | 2d ago |
| Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 0.71 | $0.970 | $0.69 | 2d ago |
| Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 16.82 | $0.980 | $16.48 | 2d ago |
| Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.980 | $3.88 | 2d ago |
| Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 9.89 | $0.920 | $9.1 | 2d ago |
| Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 6.73 | $0.790 | $5.32 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 16.58 | $0.800 | $13.26 | 3d ago |
| Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.998 | $13.98 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 15.02 | $0.917 | $13.77 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.920 | $1.61 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 7.83 | $0.940 | $7.36 | 3d ago |