Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 7 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2026 to 21 Sep 2026, the highest close was 49.6% on 20 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 21 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 0.6% on 21 Sep 2026. $59.57K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 22, 6:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 7 Jul 2026 – 21 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | 44.5% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 22.42K |
| jk345a6bsdk | Yes | 2.14K |
| Predictandbreathe | Yes | 1.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026. This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections. No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026. A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/afd-wins-the-most-seats-in-how-many-september-state-elections-20260630185301104
| Yes |
| 888 |
| GodofredoFajardo | Yes | 803.25 |
| JackLaMota | Yes | 710.44 |
| occasionalAwareness | Yes | 695.53 |
| Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc | Yes | 622.49 |
| paspor | Yes | 356 |
| Shy-Note | Yes | 280 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
