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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 21.92K | $0.126 | $4.6K | +$1.84K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 180.43 | $0.950 | $171.41 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 559.98 |
| $0.790 |
| $484.38 |
| +$42.13 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 540.52 | $0.784 | $462.15 | +$38.39 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 480.65 | $0.561 | $449.41 | +$179.83 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 467.64 | $0.820 | $399.83 | +$16.44 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 400 | $0.910 | $393.4 | +$29.4 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 649.97 | $0.555 | $350.99 | -$9.5 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 600 | $0.240 | $285 | +$141.06 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 209 | $0.830 | $202.42 | +$28.95 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 649.95 | $0.304 | $185.24 | -$12.54 |
 Will Grüne win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 1.24K | $0.105 | $118.08 | -$12.84 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 105 | $0.854 | $100.85 | +$11.18 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | No | 83.31 | $0.860 | $81.1 | +$9.46 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | No | 99.99 | $0.730 | $64.5 | -$8.5 |
 Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | No | 57.56 | $0.948 | $57.21 | +$2.63 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2.16K | $0.022 | $42.12 | -$6.36 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.099 | $39 | +$9.3 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 70 | $0.400 | $36.75 | +$8.75 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 250 | $0.245 | $35.87 | -$25.42 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 35 | $0.700 | $33.25 | +$8.75 |
| Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.240 | $23.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 190.23 | $0.106 | $19.97 | -$0.25 |
 Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.770 | $18.55 | +$3.15 |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 300 | $0.140 | $17.1 | -$24.9 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.660 | $13.5 | -$52.5 |
| buy |
| 180.43 |
| $0.627 |
| $113.16 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.240 | $239.9 | 2d ago |
 Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 250 | $0.760 | $190 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 558.95 | $0.430 | $240.35 | 6d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 3.04K | $0.130 | $394.8 | 6d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.982 | $392.8 | 6d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.130 | $117 | 6d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 4.65K | $0.122 | $566.35 | 6d ago |
| Will Grüne win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.105 | $130.93 | 6d ago |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 300 | $0.520 | $156 | 6d ago |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 508.9 | $0.398 | $202.47 | 6d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 102.93 | $0.090 | $9.26 | 10d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 480.02 | $0.099 | $47.35 | 10d ago |
 Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 177 | $0.070 | $12.48 | 12d ago |
| Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 250 | $0.618 | $154.41 | 13d ago |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.280 | $84 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 200 | $0.863 | $172.6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 600 | $0.863 | $517.8 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.280 | $280 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 490.1 | $0.119 | $58.22 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 343.99 | $0.330 | $113.52 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 500 | $0.815 | $407.57 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 785.65 | $0.200 | $157.38 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.236 | $472.57 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | buy | 90.37 | $0.321 | $29.01 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.183 | $641.67 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 130.7 | $0.022 | $2.88 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.275 | $165.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 196.92 | $0.070 | $13.81 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.160 | $96 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.91 | $0.120 | $1.31 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 2.7K | $0.130 | $351 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.024 | $1.33 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.730 | $146 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | sell | 255 | $0.042 | $10.71 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.513 | $205.05 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 224.77 | $0.027 | $6.07 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.600 | $180 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.032 | $19.2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 300 | $0.560 | $168 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 133.81 | $0.520 | $69.58 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.030 | $1.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.170 | $102 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 310.29 | $0.310 | $96.19 | Jun 19, 2026 |