Analytics
5038813185 has made $34.6K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 40.2K | $0.204 | $6.83K | -$1.37K |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 02:26 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 17:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 17:16 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 02:26 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $91.42K and losing ones cost $23.24K across the latest 50 settled positions. 56% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $18.89K on “US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?” (No); the largest loss, $3.1K on “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?” (Yes).
It has traded 147 markets. Its open positions are worth $9.39K across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 55.02K |
| $0.115 |
| $1.32K |
| -$5K |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 2.98K | $0.240 | $641.39 | -$74.58 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | No | 1.35K | $0.190 | $189 | -$67.5 |
 Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 14K | $0.127 | $188.99 | -$1.59K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? | Yes | 1.32K | $0.115 | $138.88 | -$12.75 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.450 | $73.5 | +$28.5 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | No | 219.78 | $0.135 | $3.85 | -$25.87 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.38 | $0.800 | $1.3 | +$0.2 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.31 | $0.292 | $0.01 | -$0.08 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
